Saturday, January 17, 2015

Fantasy Focus: First Base

First base is where some of the biggest boppers in the game play.  You probably want to roster at least two using 1 or 2 in IF and/or UT positions.  Here are the first basemen ranked by Steamer PROJECTED SLG% for 2015 with Projected PA's:

1.  Miguel Cabrera:  .557, 648 PA
2.  Jose Abreu:  .530, 611 PA
3.  Paul Goldschmidt:  .523, 649 PA
4.  Edwin Encarnacion:  .515, 636 PA
5.  Anthony Rizzo:  .503, 625 PA
6.  Brandon Moss:  .485, 516 PA
7.  Justin Morneau:  .484, 527 PA
8.  Prince Fielder:  .483, 599 PA
9.  Freddie Freeman:  .480, 650 PA
10.  Chris Davis:  .477, 551 PA
11.  Joey Votto:  .473, 601 PA
12.  Steven Pearce:  .467, 586 PA
13.  Albert Pujols:  .466, 614 PA
14.  Mark Trumbo:  .463, 577 PA
15.  Adrian Gonzalez:  461, 642 PA
16.  Matt Adams:  .455, 509 PA
17.  Brandon Belt:  .454, 592 PA
18.  Chris Carter:  .453, 598 PA
19.  Adam Lind:  .451, 560 PA
20.  Mike Napoli:  .444, 547 PA
21.  Eric Hosmer:  .440, 573 PA
22.  Adam LaRoche:  .434, 592 PA
23.  Logan Morrison:  .430, 578 PA
24.  Lucas Duda:  .419, 534 PA
25.  Joe Mauer:  .403, 534 PA

There are just 5 players projected by Steamer to have SLG% .500 or above.  You want at least 1 of those players on your team!  You will have to pay.  Rizzo is a guy who your league might be sleeping on, but I would not count on it.

In the second tier, I like Morneau, Pujols and AGone in case you are lucky enough to snag a Mike Trout or Giancarlo Stanton, or prefer a 20/20 threat like McCutchen or a pitcher like Kershaw in round 1.

If Brandon Belt ever plays a full season, I think he has a legitimate chance to hit 30 HR's, but Steamer is skeptical, as we should probably be too, and projects him for just 20.

Adam Lind is a guy who just might benefit from a change of scenery in Milwaukee.

Steamer obviously thinks Duda is going to regress from the 30 dingers he hit last year, but I would take a chance on him over Morrison, LaRoche and Napoli.  In fact, I just might rank him #16 behind AGone.

There are a few players who will play 1B as their primary position who you may prefer to roster at other positions:  Carlos Santana, SLG% ,433;  Pedro Alvarez, SLG% 448 and don't forget Michael Morse will probably be the full time 1B for the Miami Marlins with a projected SLG% of .438.

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